Jerome model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 60.8% for Clinton and 39.2% for Trump in Maryland.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 3.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.7% in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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