The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often include large biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 7.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.9% in Kentucky.