Jerome model: Clinton with small lead in New Mexico

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in New Mexico, which is 1.1 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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