Jerome model: Clinton with clear lead in New York

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.9% for Clinton and 41.1% for Trump in New York.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.6% in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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