Jerome model: Clinton in Louisiana trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton and 53.3% for Trump in Louisiana.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana, which is 4.4 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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