DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Louisiana

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.4% for Clinton and 61.6% for Trump in Louisiana.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana, which is 3.9 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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