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DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Kentucky


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will end up with 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.9% in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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