DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Kansas

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 58.2% in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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