DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Kansas
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will win 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 58.2% in Kansas.