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DeSart model: Trump with clear lead in Missouri


The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 42.5% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 57.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models can contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 54.7% of the two-party vote in Missouri, which is 2.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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