DeSart model in North Carolina: Trump with comfortable lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will win 53.6%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 51.2% in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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