DeSart model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will receive 53.0% of the two-party vote share in New Mexico, while Trump will win 47.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in New Mexico, which is 0.3 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model.