The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 56.9% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, whereas Trump will end up with 43.2%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in New Jersey, which is 0.4 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model.