DeSart model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.9% for Clinton and 64.1% for Trump in Nebraska.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 61.1% in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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