DeSart model in Mississippi: Trump with clear lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 41.4% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will end up with 58.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.8% in Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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