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DeSart model in Maryland: Clinton with very clear lead


The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 61.4% for Clinton and 38.6% for Trump in Maryland.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.7% in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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