DeSart model: Clinton in North Dakota trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 37.0% for Clinton and 63.1% for Trump in North Dakota.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in North Dakota, which is 3.4 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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