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Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead


The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will garner 25.4% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will end up with 74.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump can currently count on 71.2% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Wyoming. This value is 3.4 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 70.8% in Wyoming. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 27.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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