Vermont: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 54.2% for Clinton and 45.8% for Trump in Vermont.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often incorporate substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Vermont has Clinton at 60.4% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 6.2 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 60.7% of the two-party vote in Vermont, which is 6.5 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 1.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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