Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.4% for Clinton and 64.6% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 62.9% in Utah.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.