The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 21.8% for Clinton and 78.2% for Trump in Utah.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Utah sees Trump at 71.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.8 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.9% of the two-party vote in Utah, which is 15.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 30.9 percentage points higher.