Hit enter after type your search item

Texas: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

/
/
/
16 Views

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.8% for Clinton and 53.2% for Trump in Texas.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar