The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 46.8% for Clinton and 53.2% for Trump in Texas.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.5% in Texas.