Tennessee: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump in Tennessee.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 56.1% of the two-party vote in Tennessee, which is 3.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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