The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, whereas Trump will win 52.2%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Tennessee has Trump at 57.8% of the two-party vote. This value is 5.6 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 3.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 56.1% in Tennessee. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 4.9 percentage points higher.