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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump


The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can include large biases. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 10.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 10.9 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 90.3 percentage points less and Trump has 90.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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