Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Wyoming
The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may include large errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 71.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 71.1 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 29.2 percentage points less and Trump has 29.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Wyoming.