Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Wisconsin
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 46.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 46.9 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 53.2 percentage points less and Trump has 53.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Wisconsin.