Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in West Virginia

The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each win 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 60.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 60.4 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 38.1 percentage points less and Trump has 38.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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