The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Virginia is traditionally a battleground state, where the candidates of both major parties have historically gained similar voter support. This is the reason why the election outcome in that state is viewed as important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 53.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 53.1 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 50.2 percentage points less and Trump has 50.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Virginia.