Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Texas

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.0 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 44.5 percentage points less and Trump has 44.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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