Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Texas
The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 44.5 percentage points less and Trump has 44.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Texas.