The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.8 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 43.9 percentage points less and Trump has 43.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Tennessee.