Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in South Dakota

The Rothschild model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 59.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 59.6 percentage points.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 40.7 percentage points less and Trump has 40.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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