Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in South Carolina

The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 55.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 55.7 percentage points.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

Clinton has 44.6 percentage points less and Trump has 44.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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