Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in South Carolina
The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 55.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 55.7 percentage points.
The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
Clinton has 44.6 percentage points less and Trump has 44.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for South Carolina.