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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Pennsylvania


The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 48.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 48.1 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 53.3 percentage points less and Trump has 53.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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