The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 48.1 percentage points, while Trump did better with 48.1 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 53.3 percentage points less and Trump has 53.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Pennsylvania.