Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Oregon

The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 45.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 45.9 percentage points.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 52.8 percentage points less and Trump has 52.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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