Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Oklahoma

The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 63.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 63.4 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 37.3 percentage points less and Trump has 37.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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