Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Ohio
The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.
Historically, Ohio has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why predictions here are of particular interest.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 49.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 49.8 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 50.7 percentage points less and Trump has 50.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio.