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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Ohio


The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump obtaining 50% of the two-party vote.

Historically, Ohio has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why predictions here are of particular interest.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 49.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 49.8 percentage points.

The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 50.7 percentage points less and Trump has 50.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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