The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 59.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 59.4 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 40.3 percentage points less and Trump has 40.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Dakota.