Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in North Carolina

The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 53.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 53.2 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 48.7 percentage points less and Trump has 48.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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