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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in New York

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The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 39.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 39.4 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

Clinton has 60.6 percentage points less and Trump has 60.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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