The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results vs. other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 39.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 39.4 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 60.6 percentage points less and Trump has 60.6 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New York.