The Rothschild model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 47.4 percentage points, while Trump did better with 47.4 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
Clinton has 53.3 percentage points less and Trump has 53.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Mexico.