The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 42.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 42.7 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 57.4 percentage points less and Trump has 57.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Jersey.