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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in New Jersey

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The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 42.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 42.7 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 57.4 percentage points less and Trump has 57.4 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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