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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Nevada

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The Rothschild model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.

Historically, Nevada has been a battleground state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Therefore, forecasts in this state are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 48.7 percentage points, while Trump did better with 48.7 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 50.9 percentage points less and Trump has 50.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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