Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Nebraska

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 61.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 61.3 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 38.9 percentage points less and Trump has 38.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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