The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 57.3 percentage points, while Trump did better with 57.3 percentage points.
The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 42.9 percentage points less and Trump has 42.9 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Montana.