Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Missouri

The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 55.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 55.0 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 45.3 percentage points less and Trump has 45.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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