The Rothschild model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 55.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 55.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 45.3 percentage points less and Trump has 45.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Missouri.