The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump receiving 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 56.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 56.2 percentage points.
The Rothschild model compared with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 46.2 percentage points less and Trump has 46.2 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Mississippi.