The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate ending up with 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 45.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 45.0 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 53.8 percentage points less and Trump has 53.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Minnesota.