The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 46.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 46.2 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 53.8 percentage points less and Trump has 53.8 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Michigan.