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Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Maryland


The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each win 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 38.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 38.9 percentage points.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

Clinton has 64.3 percentage points less and Trump has 64.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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