Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Maryland
The Rothschild model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton and Trump will each win 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 38.9 percentage points, while Trump did better with 38.9 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
Clinton has 64.3 percentage points less and Trump has 64.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maryland.