Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Maine

The Rothschild model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each receive 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 44.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 44.6 percentage points.

The Rothschild model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 54.5 percentage points less and Trump has 54.5 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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